2019 Corn Yield Compared to 2018 - 11/5/19 (Poll Results)
FBN farmer contributed poll responses spanning 1,266 farms and 4.2 million acres show Western Corn Belt yields coming in below USDA benchmarks from the October WASDE report.
We look forward to further analysis between our FBN member polls and USDA's updated state yield assumptions which will be released this Friday, 11/8/19, in the November WASDE report.
Click the image to see the results!
30 bushels/acre below my aph in nw Missouri
40 bushel below average in nw Illinois
54 BPA below average in Southern IN.
38 Bu/A less than last year and I have good crops in central IL
If the survey comes back at 159.7bu avg, are these real #s?? FBN's yield forecast is 167.4. Which one should we go off of? Which one is better data that we can actually make decisions off of?
Great question. In past years, FBN members' self-reported yields in SMS polls have tended to be pessimistic, reporting yields lower than what is ultimately displayed when the true yield data comes in. The data we have from yield monitors so far suggests that may also be the case this year. But, the yield monitor data in so far is limited, and there's still significant uncertainty around yields, particularly in areas that have experienced severe weather and harvest delays this fall. We at FBN believe that final yields will end up somewhere in-between the two numbers, and we'll share updated yield results as more members submit 2019 harvest files.
I no *****
Corn yields in Central Iowa are coming in very good and similar to a year ago.